Conf = ODAC
Nickname = VA Hornets Coach = Steve KoudGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.0733414 home-field advantage = -0.47 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 217 A Gettysburg Centennial ( 8- 6, 94.7) 10-15 224 H Cabrini AEC (13- 4, 92.6) 18- 5 302 A Salisbury CLC (17- 0, 99.4) 8-13 310 H Denison NCAC (11- 5, 92.5) 13- 4 315 A Stevenson MAC-Commonwlt (10- 6, 93.5) 15- 9 316 N Hamilton NESCAC ( 8- 6, 94.4) 15-16 323 A Christopher Newport CLC (12- 4, 96.4) 9-11 324 A Virginia Wesleyan ODAC ( 5-10, 78.5) 16- 4 330 N Amherst NESCAC (10- 5, 96.9) 15-13 403 H Guilford ODAC ( 7- 9, 82.4) 21- 6 406 H Washington & Lee ODAC (13- 3, 95.4) 9-10 410 A Randolph ODAC ( 4-10, 68.7) 23- 0 413 H Randolph-Macon ODAC (12- 4, 92.1) 15- 6 417 A Roanoke ODAC (13- 4, 94.0) 18-15 420 A Hampden-Sydney ODAC (11- 5, 91.3) 14- 6 424 H Shenandoah ODAC ( 9- 6, 86.5) 15-11 427 H St Marys (MD) UnitedEast (11- 5, 89.6)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Gettysburg 10-15 -5 0 -- -5.92 224 H Cabrini 18- 5 13 3 + 3.03 302 A Salisbury 8-13 -5 -3 -1.22 310 H Denison 13- 4 9 4 + 2.92 315 A Stevenson 15- 9 6 2 + 3.87 316 N Hamilton 15-16 -1 1 - -2.63 323 A Christopher Newport 9-11 -2 0 -1.24 324 A Virginia Wesleyan 16- 4 12 17 0.00 330 N Amherst 15-13 2 0 + 2.84 403 H Guilford 21- 6 15 14 0.00 406 H Washington & Lee 9-10 -1 1 - -2.18 410 A Randolph 23- 0 23 26 0.00 413 H Randolph-Macon 15- 6 9 4 + 2.58 417 A Roanoke 18-15 3 1 1.39 420 A Hampden-Sydney 14- 6 8 4 + 2.68 424 H Shenandoah 15-11 4 10 - -3.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 217 A Gettysburg 10-15 -5 0 -- -5.92 316 N Hamilton 15-16 -1 1 - -2.63 406 H Washington & Lee 9-10 -1 1 - -2.18 424 H Shenandoah 15-11 4 10 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Cabrini 18- 5 13 3 + 3.03 310 H Denison 13- 4 9 4 + 2.92 315 A Stevenson 15- 9 6 2 + 3.87 330 N Amherst 15-13 2 0 + 2.84 413 H Randolph-Macon 15- 6 9 4 + 2.58 420 A Hampden-Sydney 14- 6 8 4 + 2.68
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.07 Power Rank................. 13 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 79.08 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 31 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7109 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 8 RPI Rating............... .6502 RPI Rank................... 10 Champ. Probability ...... 2.0 Championship Rank ......... 14 Selection sum ........... 47 Selection Rank ............ 11 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -20. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 35 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -10. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 29 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.0